에드워드 도서관(Edward Library)
Thinking Fast and Slow(Daniel Kahneman) 본문
Thinking Fast and Slow(Daniel Kahneman)
Edward.L 2023. 10. 25. 13:071. Don’t be fooled by media bias.
The media is biased toward novelty and intensity.
The media not only directs the public's attention, but is also driven by the public's attention.
mobile e-book: 366 pages
In 2021, South Korea's violent crime (murder) arrest rate is 90% within 3 months.
South Korea's security rate is among the highest anywhere in the world, and it is one of the few countries where people can safely play on the streets at night.
It is also a country where it is rare for someone to steal something even if you leave it behind.
However, in the news, violent crimes are always serious, sex crimes are high, etc. It always seems like a country overflowing with violent crimes.
News is advertised so intensely to arouse people's interest and interest.
It seems like YouTube uses strong thumbnails (which people can misunderstand).
The crime rate is gradually decreasing, and I think we live in a very safe and good country.
Additionally, it is becoming easier to apprehend criminals thanks to CCTV and other technologies.
I think people need to look a little further away.
It is important to avoid making the mistake of thinking that the crime rate across the country is high because of a single crime.
2. Expert predictions are not the answer.
People who know a little more about a field make slightly better predictions than people who know less.
However, the people who know best are often mistrusted.
The reason is that people who have acquired a lot of knowledge misunderstand their abilities more and become unrealistically confident.
mobile e-book: 570 pages
Most people listen to experts' predictions.
But experts are not gods.
I don't think anyone can know the future and we shouldn't blindly believe it because it's just an opinion.
All that is expected from experts is to diagnose/supplement the current condition.
Naturally, you may be anxious about the future, worried about losing money, and having a hard time.
But isn't that the case with everything in the world?
When playing sports, people think that everyone has their own form or method due to the diversity of body sizes.
I think the way to success is the same.
I think that in order to find the answer, you must first follow along with people who have experienced it (reading, talking, etc.), study, and experience it yourself to find your own answer.
Don't trust predictions, but trust your own experience and efforts.
What have you experienced and tried to achieve success?
3. Always make the current situation better.
If all the results are good, there is a tendency to prefer a confirmed outcome over gambling (risk aversion), and if all the results are negative, there is a tendency to reject the confirmed outcome and choose gambling (risk seeking).
mobile e-book: 953 pages
I think my current situation is very important.
When times are hard, everything seems difficult, negative, and gambling.
for example,
A only has $1 in hand, and B has $100 in hand.
Assuming that there is a gamble where if you invest $1, there is a 10% chance that you will get back twice the money you invested.
Who among A and B is willing to take this gamble?
In my opinion, I think there is a high probability that I will take that gamble because I am desperate for A.
In the case of B, I think he already has $100 and won't be too concerned about a probability that is only 10%.
I think gambling addicts are also like this.
They say that one shot is enough, and whenever they have money in hand, they will gamble and seek more risk.
I think that people who live a stable life will not make efforts to take risks with low odds.
That's why I think your current situation is very important.
If you are too greedy, believe you are lucky, or are impatient, I think you need to think again.
Having money, success, and professionalism all happen suddenly can definitely be frustrating.
I think the first thing to do is to look at your current situation, create a safe situation, and then proceed with your goal.
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